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January 2025 REFRIGERANTS REVIEW BRY-AIR COMMEMORATES 60 YEARS OF OPERATIONS CAREL TO SPOTLIGHT EU REGULATIONS AIMED AT IMPROVING ENERGY EFFICIENCY US$ PUBLICATION LICENSED BY IMPZ US$ PUBLICATION LICENSED BY IMPZ US$ PUBLICATION LICENSED BY IMPZ US$ PUBLICATION LICENSED BY IMPZ PENETRATION’ ‘DISTRICT COOLING LICENCE TO CHILL Excess refrigerant can lead to refrigerant migration, oil dilution and component damage Dan Mizesko, Dalkia US Chiller Services REPORT Decoding HVACR2030 AI & DISTRICT COOLING The time for autonomous buildings is here Salah Nezar, New Murabba HVAC climate goals are under pressure Nabil Shahin, AHRI MENA The Cooling Pledge: A hedge against global warming Dr Rajendra Shende, former Director, UNEPVOL. 20 NO. 1 JANUARY 2025 REPORT Decoding HVACR2030 Eurovent report offers an analysis of the HVACR industry in 2023, explores key trends and challenges, presents a forecast through 2030 12 16 20 26 06 www.ccme.news 3 REGULARS 04 eDItor'S note 32 Regional News 36 Global News COVER STORY p age 22 ‘District Cooling can go up to 60% penetration’ Khalid Al Marzooqi, CEO, Tabreed, speaks on market reach, the use of geothermal energy in District Cooling and the type of refrigerant the utility company is adopting The Cooling Pledge A hedge against global warming, says Dr Rajendra Shende, former Director, UNEP HVAC climate goals are under pressure It is vital that we accelerate regulatory refrigerant transitions in the Middle East, says Nabil Shahin, AHRI MENA District Cooling: A vital link to sustainable urban planning Given that District Cooling offers a more energy-efficient solution to the region’s growing cooling demands, it is important to persist with continued investment, innovation, and collaboration between public and private sectors to realise its full potential, says Kevin Laidler, Armstrong Fluid Technology The time for autonomous buildings is here Salah Nezar of New Murabba speaks on the vision for the project to bring a game-changer solution for the District Cooling industry using AI and ML to achieve unprecedented efficiencies ON THE COVER AND HERE: The Yas Marina Circuit, home of the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix (Formula 1 event). Tabreed has been supplying chilled water to the facility. January 2025 4 A T THE core of green urban development is the need for denser, self-contained communities, as a means to lowering commute-related emissions. With urban populations in the Middle East surging – as per reports, they are expected to grow by 30% from 2020 to 2030 – it is only inevitable that we are going to witness more and more dense clusters. In 2020, ‘density’ transformed into a word of dread, though. It meant a higher potential for the spread of disease. Such was the threat that we were encouraged – no, firmly asked – to ‘social distance’ as one of the strategies to flatten the curve. It was unnerving at a psychological level and flew against the face of green design, though no one could have imagined the scenario when eco-building codes were being written, more than 25 years ago. Today, we are out of the shadows of COVID-19, and back to living life. Dense is once again in vogue for urban planners. As an MEP community, we need to live with it; only, what are we doing to lessen the possible threat to lives from another pandemic? Microsoft Co-Founder, Bill Gates, who in 2015 warned that the world was unprepared for a deadly outbreak – a situation that turned out to be true five years later – recently estimated a 10-15% chance of another COVID-like pandemic occurring within the next four years. He went on to say that the world continues to be unprepared for an outbreak, shackled as it is by political differences, barely encouraging global cooperation and a global healthcare infrastructure, which in his opinion, is lagging behind what would be considered adequate. Our concern, though, is what we as a collective repository of MEP tech knowhow, design and FM strategies are doing to ward off the threat, should the outbreak that Gates is predicting become a reality. Yes, we have ASHRAE Standard 241 as a manual that can prove to be a worthy guide, but are the existing equipment fitted in buildings across the region capable of rising to the occasion? Or, are there gaps in technologies? If the existing technologies are indeed capable, is that enough? What about the systems and processes? Are FM technicians trained to swiftly switch on to combat mode? Is there a holistic approach that can calm the nerves of building occupants? The answer, sadly, is a ‘no’ to almost all the questions. We need to do away with the smugness and the complacency – and the sooner the better. Jeremy McDonald Principal of Guth DeConzo Consulting Engineers, in New York, writes on IAQ and building tracing. He served as the technical consultant to the New York State Energy Research and Development Authority in development of an IAQ guideline for Higher Education in NY: “Covid-19 Response Guide, State University of New York”. Dan Mizesko Managing Partner/President, US Chiller Services International, writes on issues relating to chilled water systems, including operation & maintenance. Nabil Shahin Managing Director, AHRI MENA, writes on HVACR- specific regulation issues. Dr Iyad Al-Attar Independent air filtration consultant, writes on specific science and technology issues relating to Indoor Air Quality, including airborne particles. Omnia Halawani Co-Founder & Co-CEO, GRFN Global, writes on MEP consultancy- related issues. Krishnan Unni Madathil Auditor, Bin Khadim, Radha & Co. Chartered Accountants, carrying out an analysis of the market, writes on business opportunities for the HVACR industry. Editor Surendar Balakrishnan surendar@cpi-industry.com Online & Social Media Nivedita Vijayan marketing@cpi-industry.com Advertising Enquiries Frédéric Paillé +971 50 7147204 fred@cpi-industry.com Judy Wang Our representative in Asia (except India) +852 307 80 826 judywang2000@vip.126.com Deep Karani Our representative in North America +1 365 885-6849 deep.karani@cpimediagroup.com Design Head Ulysses Galgo uly@cpi-industry.com Webmaster Chris Lopez chris@cpi-industry.com Database/Subscriptions Manager Purwanti Srirejeki purwanti@cpi-industry.com Published by Founder, CPI Media Group Dominic De Sousa (1959-2015) Co-Founder & Commercial Director Frédéric Paillé fred@cpi-industry.com EMPANELLED COLUMNISTSCo-Founder & Editorial Director Surendar Balakrishnan surendar@cpi-industry.com Head Office PO Box 13700, Dubai, UAE Web: www.cpi-industry.com Printed by: Jaguar Printing Press L.L.C © Copyright 2025 CPI Industry. All rights reserved. While the publishers have made every effort to ensure the accuracy of all information in this magazine, they will not be held responsible for any errors therein. Scarce little Visit our website: climatecontrolme.com/digital Also available at January 2025 REFRIGERANTS REVIEW BRY-AIR COMMEMORATES 60 YEARS OF OPERATIONS CAREL TO SPOTLIGHT EU REGULATIONS AIMED AT IMPROVING ENERGY EFFICIENCY PUBLICATION LICENSED BY IMPZ PUBLICATION LICENSED BY IMPZ PUBLICATION LICENSED BY IMPZ US$ PUBLICATION LICENSED BY IMPZ PENETRATION’ ‘DISTRICT COOLING LICENCE TO CHILL Excess refrigerant can lead to refrigerant migration, oil dilution and component damage Dan Mizesko, Dalkia US Chiller Services REPORT Decoding HVACR2030 AI & DISTRICT COOLING The time for autonomous buildings is here Salah Nezar, New Murabba HVAC climate goals are under pressure Nabil Shahin, AHRI MENA The Cooling Pledge: A hedge against global warming Dr Rajendra Shende, former Director, UNEP Get the next issue of Climate Control Middle Eastearly! Surendar Balakrishnan Editor @BSurendar_HVACRREPORT Eurovent report offers an analysis of the HVACR industry in 2023, explores key trends and challenges, presents a forecast through 2030 DECODING HVACR 2030 January 2025 6www.ccme.news 7 O N November 29, 2024, Eurovent Market Intelligence (EMI) published its latest comprehensive report, HVACR 2030, which offers an analysis of the HVACR sector in 2023. This fourth edition of EMI’s ongoing series explores key industry trends and challenges, and presents a forward-looking forecast through 2030. The extensive study is intended as a resource for manufacturers, investors and policymakers seeking insights into current market dynamics, emerging technologies and opportunities. Covering 16 products under five chapters: Cooling, Refrigeration, Thermodynamics, Terminal units and Ventilation, the report focuses on the European market, which includes the EU27, Balkan countries, Norway, Switzerland, Türkiye, UK and Ukraine. The first section of the report, dedicated to cooling, is a comparison of the cooling tower and dry cooler markets. The dry cooler market amounted to €372.7 million in 2023 in Europe, compared to €210 million for cooling towers, the former being 4,8 4,3 1,4 0,8 0,7 Ventilation Thermodynamics Refrigeration Terminal units Cooling 2023marketsizeinmillioneuros Distribution of the adiabatic and hybrid market in Europe in 2023 68% 9% 23% 59% 13% 28% Pad systemHybridSimple spray Market in valueMarket in units dominated by Germany and the latter by Türkiye. The evolution in value was much more favourable in 2023 for dry coolers, with +15% while that of cooling towers stagnated. This is part of an underlying trend in Europe, which is seeing the dry cooler market progressing more quickly than that of cooling towers. Between the two, the adiabatic and hybrid dry coolers are progressing the fastest, but another confrontation is looming between the simple spray and pad systems. As January 2025 8 REPORT can be seen in the graph opposite, pad systems dominate the market, but this trend could be reversed. The chapter on refrigeration covers the market for coolers and condensers, including CO 2 units. The former totalled 271,000 units, compared to 48,900 for the latter in 2023. The market is dominated by France, followed by Italy and then Germany, but the most interesting point is, of course, the evolution of CO 2 units in Europe. Their proportion increased from 12% in 2019 to 20% in 2023: It is higher in northern Europe – around 50% — but this is not necessarily where the largest markets or the strongest growths are. As for ammonia (NH3) units, the large markets are in Spain, Poland and the Netherlands, but once again, the growth potential is elsewhere. heat source, type of cooling or heating, compressor and application. Additionally, it includes a forecast of the chiller market by refrigerant up to the year 2030. The CRAC/CRAH market also enjoyed double-digit growth in 2023, with unit sales increasing by 15% and market value rising by 33%, reaching €375.8 million. This growth was primarily driven by the rising demand for high- capacity CRAH units (over 100 kW), which are essential for hyperscale and large enterprise data centres. The units have consistently experienced growth since 2015, although there was a brief slowdown in 2021, due to uncertainties following the pandemic. However, the market rebounded in 2022, and in 2023, there was a 28% increase in sales of large units. In the section dedicated to terminal units, the report highlights the positive growth of the fan-coil unit market, which was valued at €570 million in 2023. The market is primarily driven by units without casing, which makes up about one-third of the market, slightly surpassing units with casing. The strong growth in 2023 contrasted with the chilled-beam market, which remained particularly stable in both value and structure. In 2023, the sales of chilled beams reached almost 64 million euros, with Sweden alone accounting for more than a third of the amount. A modest decline is expected for the chilled-beam sector through 2030, as fan-coil units – a more cost-effective solution – continue to gain market share. Finally, in the chapter on ventilation, the report features three products: air-handling units (AHUs), central residential mechanical ventilation with heat recovery (MVHR) and air filters. Only the last product demonstrated stable growing dynamics. Largest in the ventilation sector in Total Europe, the AHU market (around 2.9 billion euro sales) in 2023, grew by +7.5% in euro terms but stagnated in units. The situation by country varied a lot, with only southern Europe and the United Kingdom having a positive evolution in units. The year 2023 for the AHU market was highlighted by turning the rotary into the dominant heat recovery technology in Europe (37% against 32% for the plate), with a high probability of keeping this prevalence in the future. Additionally, the report explores the correlation between the evolution dynamics of AHUs and integrated control and compact units, which both suffered a decrease in 2023, following the weak performance of retail and light- commercial applications. The central residential MVHR market experienced the worst downturn in the ventilation segment, with a 10% decline, impacted by the crisis in new residential construction all over Europe. Among significant markets, only Spain and the United Kingdom enjoyed a positive evolution in 2023, while northern and eastern Europe dipped by around -20%. The EMI forecast predicts a gradual recovery, though rather slow and not immediate. Despite the overall decrease, the units with enthalpy slightly increased, but mainly in eastern Europe. Unlike that for AHU, the share of rotary heat recovery in central residential MVHR in Total Europe diminished in 2023, which is likely related to the strong decline in northern Europe, the region where this heat recovery type dominates. Additionally, the report analyses the defrosting strategies used in different European countries and the preferences by the unit’s mounting type. Editor’s Note: EMI’s database, which includes contributions from over 500 participants, formed the foundation for the HVACR 2030 report, providing an understanding of the economic, technological and regulatory factors shaping the HVACR sector. The report spans 154 pages. For more details, readers may contact: statistics@ eurovent-marketintelligence.eu HFC; 74% HFO; 7% HFC/HFO Blend; 17% Natural; 1% Refrigerant share in Chillers >50 kW in 2023 3% 37% 4% 66% 31% Market by type of heat recovery in Total Europe Crossflow Counterflow Rotary 61% In the chapter on thermodynamics, the market evolution in 2023 showed a positive trend overall, except for the rooftop segment, which experienced stagnation in unit numbers. One of the standout segments of 2023 involved chillers with a capacity above 50 kW, which experienced remarkable double- digit growth, reaching a market value of €1,997.7 million. It must be noted that air-cooled and water-cooled chillers fuelled the expansion. While the long- term analysis by cooling and heating type revealed differing trends, the refrigerant analysis concluded that the phase-down of HFCs in 2023 was rather slow, despite a decline in the use of R-410A. The report also features an analysis of refrigerants based on capacity, A CLIMATE CONTROL MIDDLE EAST EDITORIAL CAMPAIGN ON REFRIGERANTS THE COOLING PLEDGE: A HEDGE AGAINST GLOBAL WARMINGNext >